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ITC Ltd Share Price Target 2024, 2025 to 2030

February 4, 2024 By Sakshi Chaudhary Leave a Comment

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Embarking on a culinary journey that encapsulates the rich flavors of India’s heritage, the G20 summit features a curated spread that resonates with the diverse tapestry of Indian cuisine. Spearheading this gastronomic endeavor is ITC, an industry titan established in 1910. Renowned as the country’s largest cigarette manufacturer, ITC has seamlessly diversified its prowess across FMCG, Hotels, Paperboards, Agri Business, and more.

The aromatic symphony of spices is mirrored in ITC’s offerings, ranging from the tantalizing Bingo! Nachos in Tedhe Medhe, Cream & Onion, and Chilli Limon flavors to the delightful Sunfeast Fantastik with Roast Almond and Choco Almond variants. Beyond the kitchen, ITC extends its touch to essentials like Savlon Handwash and Sunrise Spices, enriching everyday experiences.

Yet, amidst this culinary and lifestyle opulence, the question looms: Will ITC achieve the ambitious target of 1000 this year? Only time will unfurl the narrative, as ITC navigates the intricate blend of tradition and modernity to reach new heights in 2024

ITC Ltd Share Price Target 2024, 2025 to 2030

About ITC

ITC stands as one of India’s premier private sector companies, distinguishing itself as a diversified conglomerate with a significant presence across various industries. The conglomerate’s expansive portfolio includes businesses in Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG), Hotels, Paperboards and Packaging, Agri Business, and Information Technology. With a Gross Revenue of ₹69,481 crores and Net Profit of ₹18,753.31 crores (as of March 31, 2023), ITC holds a distinguished position as one of India’s most valuable business corporations.

Recognized as India’s most admired company, ITC has earned this accolade through its commitment to excellence and innovation. The company’s success is driven by multiple growth drivers, encompassing its leadership in FMCG, dominance in the Indian Paperboard and Packaging industry, global recognition for farmer empowerment in Agri Business, and its pioneering role in ‘Responsible Luxury’ through its hotel chain.

Over the past decade, ITC has cultivated a vibrant portfolio of 25+ world-class Indian brands, establishing itself as a leading player in the FMCG sector. Brands like Aashirvaad, Sunfeast, Yippee!, Bingo!, and others have not only become market leaders but also reflect ITC’s dedication to creating and retaining value in India.

ITC’s institutional strengths, including deep consumer insights, cutting-edge Research & Development, and a robust distribution network, contribute to the competitiveness of its diverse businesses. The company’s commitment to ‘Nation First: Sab Saath Badhein’ underscores its core philosophy of building a globally competitive and profitable Indian enterprise that contributes significantly to societal well-being.

Noteworthy is ITC’s exceptional commitment to sustainability, making it carbon-positive, water-positive, and solid waste recycling positive for over a decade. With a focus on larger national priorities, ITC actively engages in sustainable agriculture, doubling farmer incomes, and contributing to the “Make in India” vision.

In summary, ITC’s journey is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence, a commitment to sustainability, and a dedication to serving the nation’s larger priorities. Through its diversified businesses, innovative products, and sustainable practices, ITC continues to be a prominent player in India’s corporate landscape.

Recent News Around ITC

  • Net Segment Revenue increased by 8.5%, and Segment PBIT (Profit Before Interest and Taxes) saw an 8.0% YoY growth on a high base.
  • Over a 2-year CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), Net Segment Revenue showed an impressive growth of 15.7%, and Segment PBIT grew by 15.5%.
  • The company attributes this growth to factors such as Portfolio Vitality, Product Availability, and Execution Excellence.
  • ITC’s market standing has been reinforced through the successful launch of several differentiated product variants, contributing to the overall performance.
  • The company continues to focus on innovation and democratizing premiumization across various segments.
  • Despite facing challenges such as sharp cost escalation in Leaf Tobacco and certain inputs, along with an increase in taxes, ITC has successfully mitigated these issues through improved product mix, strategic cost management, and calibrated pricing.
  • ITC’s hospitality sector has experienced strong growth in Average Room Rates (ARRs) across its properties.
  • Occupancy remained relatively flat YoY, primarily due to ongoing renovations and fewer wedding dates.
  • The company maintains a healthy pipeline of management contracts under various brands, with phased openings planned over the next few quarters.
  • The hospitality segment achieved a notable expansion in EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margin, with a 170 basis points increase YoY, reaching 30.7%.
  • Margin expansion was driven by factors such as higher Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR), curated packages, premium Food & Beverage offerings, and strategic cost management initiatives.
  • The Scheme of Demerger, approved by the Board in August 2023, is progressing as per the scheduled timelines, with the scheme already submitted.

ITC Q2 Fy2024 Key Points And Summary:

  • Global GDP growth estimated at 3.0% in 2023, down from 3.5% in 2022.
  • Advanced economies near the peak of the rate hike cycle.
  • India’s FY24 GDP expected to grow by 6.5% compared to 7.2% in FY23.
  • Inflation in FY24 anticipated to drop to ~5.4% from 6.7% in FY23.
  • Challenges include a spike in food inflation in July 2023 and a ~25% increase in crude oil prices over the last three months.
  • Strong performance with a 8.3% YoY growth in Segment Revenue on a high base; 2-year CAGR at +14.5%.
  • Growth driven by products like Atta, Spices, Personal Wash, and Agarbatti despite subdued consumer demand.
  • Classmate Notebooks and Pens witness strong YoY growth.
  • Segment EBITDA margins expand by 150 bps YoY to 11.0%, and Segment PBIT grows by 36.8% YoY.
  • Resilient performance with Net Segment Revenue up 8.5% YoY and Segment PBIT up 8.0% YoY on a high base.
  • 2-year CAGR stands at +15.7% for Net Segment Revenue and +15.5% for Segment PBIT.
  • Stellar performance in the second quarter with Segment Revenue and PBIT up 21% and 50% YoY, respectively, on a high base.
  • Segment EBITDA margin up 170 bps YoY to 30.7%, driven by higher RevPAR, structural cost interventions, and operating leverage.
  • Segment Revenue up 26.4% YoY (excluding Wheat & Rice exports) driven by Value Added Agri products and Leaf Tobacco.
  • Segment PBIT up 3.3% YoY with a 2-year CAGR of +9.7%.
  • Completion of a project to augment in-house chemical pulp capacity by approximately 20%, aiming to enhance substitution of imported pulp and reduce operating costs.

Shareholding Pattern ITC

Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023
FIIs + 42.99% 43.35% 43.62% 43.34% 43.26%
DIIs + 42.19% 42.08% 41.92% 41.94% 41.98%
Government + 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04%
Public + 14.78% 14.52% 14.41% 14.68% 14.71%
No. of Shareholders 29,36,692 29,30,527 30,13,793 32,74,360 33,35,815

As of the shareholding pattern data for ITC in the specified months from December 2022 to December 2023, there are noteworthy trends in the distribution of ownership among different categories of shareholders.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have maintained a consistent presence, with their shareholding percentage ranging from 42.99% in December 2022 to 43.26% in December 2023. This suggests a sustained interest from international institutional investors in ITC.

Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) also exhibit stability, hovering around 42.19% in December 2022 and 41.98% in December 2023. The marginal decline may reflect some redistribution within the domestic institutional investor landscape.

The government’s shareholding remains minimal at 0.04% throughout the observed period, indicating a limited direct involvement in the company’s ownership structure.

Public shareholding, representing retail investors and other non-institutional entities, shows marginal fluctuations from 14.78% in December 2022 to 14.71% in December 2023. This suggests a relatively stable interest from individual investors.

The number of shareholders has seen a consistent increase over the analyzed months, growing from 29,36,692 in December 2022 to 33,35,815 in December 2023. This rise in the number of shareholders may signify growing retail participation and interest in ITC.

In conclusion, ITC’s shareholding pattern indicates a stable presence of both domestic and foreign institutional investors, minimal government involvement, and a growing number of retail shareholders. These trends reflect a diverse ownership structure, possibly influenced by factors such as the company’s performance, market dynamics, and investor sentiment.

ITC Share Price Target 2024 To 2030

ITC Share Price Target 2024

When Maximum Price Minimum Price
January 2024 ₹509.90 ₹443.39
February 2024 ₹520.30 ₹452.44
March 2024 ₹530.92 ₹461.67
April 2024 ₹515.46 ₹448.23
May 2024 ₹507.84 ₹441.60
June 2024 ₹526.12 ₹457.50
July 2024 ₹520.86 ₹452.92
August 2024 ₹541.70 ₹471.04
September 2024 ₹563.36 ₹489.88
October 2024 ₹552.32 ₹480.28
November 2024 ₹568.89 ₹494.69
December 2024 ₹583.11 ₹507.05

In the forecasted trajectory for ITC’s share price in 2024, a meticulous analysis unveils potential trends. Commencing the year with an expected range of ₹443.39 to ₹509.90 in January, the subsequent months witness a gradual ascent. February and March maintain this trajectory, with anticipated peaks of ₹520.30 and ₹530.92, and floors at ₹452.44 and ₹461.67, respectively. The minimum and maximum prices for each month oscillate, depicting market dynamics and potential investor sentiments.

Amidst these projections, April signifies a minor dip with an expected range of ₹448.23 to ₹515.46, possibly influenced by external factors or short-term market fluctuations. However, the subsequent months showcase resilience, with June reaching an expected high of ₹526.12. August and September are pivotal, expecting a climb to ₹541.70 and ₹563.36, underlining potential positive catalysts. The year culminates in December with an anticipated zenith of ₹583.11, emphasizing a positive outlook.

These projections are based on a confluence of factors including historical trends, industry dynamics, and potential market shifts. The expected prices will likely unfold as the year progresses, shaping ITC’s journey through 2024.

ITC Share Price Target 2025

when Maximum Price Minimum Price
January 2025 ₹594.77 ₹457.52
February 2025 ₹610.02 ₹469.25
March 2025 ₹633.81 ₹487.55
April 2025 ₹621.39 ₹477.99
May 2025 ₹603.29 ₹464.07
June 2025 ₹630.44 ₹484.95
July 2025 ₹618.07 ₹475.44
August 2025 ₹637.19 ₹490.15
September 2025 ₹659.49 ₹507.30
October 2025 ₹676.64 ₹520.49
November 2025 ₹693.55 ₹533.50
December 2025 ₹710.89 ₹546.84

In the projected landscape of ITC’s share price for 2025, an intricate analysis unveils potential market movements. Commencing in January with an expected range of ₹457.52 to ₹594.77, the subsequent months portray a consistent upward trajectory. February and March exhibit a resilient climb, with anticipated peaks of ₹610.02 and ₹633.81, and floors at ₹469.25 and ₹487.55, respectively.

April maintains stability, with a range of ₹477.99 to ₹621.39, potentially influenced by sustained investor confidence. May signifies a temporary dip, yet June rebounds with an expected high of ₹630.44, reflecting the dynamic nature of market forces. July, August, and September are pivotal, expecting highs of ₹618.07, ₹637.19, and ₹659.49, suggesting sustained positive catalysts.

October, November, and December showcase an upward trajectory, culminating in an anticipated zenith of ₹710.89. These projections are rooted in comprehensive factors, encompassing historical trends, potential industry shifts, and market sentiments. The expected prices will unfold as the year progresses, shaping ITC’s journey through 2025, emphasizing a resilient and positive outlook.

ITC Share Price Target 2026 To 2030

Year Maximum Price Minimum Price
2026 ₹746.44 ₹522.51
2027 ₹821.08 ₹574.76
2028 ₹1,149.51 ₹574.76
2029 ₹995.25 ₹497.63
2030 ₹1,293.83 ₹905.68

In the prospective trajectory for ITC’s share price spanning from 2026 to 2030, the anticipated range reflects potential market dynamics and strategic shifts:

  • 2026: The expected range is ₹522.51 to ₹746.44, showcasing a notable spread that indicates a potential for market fluctuations, possibly influenced by industry trends and macroeconomic factors.
  • 2027: The projected range widens as the market evolves, with an expected low of ₹574.76 and a high of ₹821.08. This suggests a potential for increased volatility or significant developments in the industry.
  • 2028: A substantial surge is anticipated in 2028, with the expected range extending from ₹574.76 to ₹1,149.51. This significant spread may indicate transformative changes within the company or industry.
  • 2029: The expected range for 2029 is ₹497.63 to ₹995.25, highlighting potential variability in the market conditions or strategic shifts that could impact the stock’s performance.
  • 2030: The anticipated range for 2030 reflects a potentially wide spectrum, with a low of ₹905.68 and a high of ₹1,293.83. This may signal a culmination of long-term trends or significant developments.

These projections are contingent on various factors, including historical performance, industry trends, and macroeconomic conditions. The expected prices will evolve based on unfolding market dynamics, shaping ITC’s trajectory over the specified years. Investors should closely monitor developments for informed decision-making.

ITC ‘s Financial Condition (Last 5 Years)

Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 TTM
Sales + 48,340 49,388 49,257 60,645 70,919 70,278
Expenses + 29,802 30,044 32,193 40,021 45,215 43,825
Operating Profit 18,537 19,344 17,065 20,623 25,704 26,453
OPM % 38% 39% 35% 34% 36% 38%
Other Income + 2,080 2,417 2,577 1,910 2,098 2,665
Interest 71 81 58 60 78 41
Depreciation 1,397 1,645 1,646 1,732 1,809 1,804
Profit before tax 19,150 20,035 17,938 20,740 25,915 27,273
Tax % 33% 22% 25% 25% 25%
Net Profit + 12,836 15,593 13,383 15,503 19,477 20,477
EPS in Rs 10.27 12.45 10.69 12.37 15.44 16.22
Dividend Payout % 56% 82% 101% 93% 100%

Over the past five years, ITC has demonstrated a consistent and robust financial performance, reflecting its resilience and adaptability in a dynamic business environment. The company’s sales have seen a notable upward trajectory, increasing from ₹48,340 crores in March 2019 to ₹70,919 crores in the trailing twelve months (TTM) ending March 2023. This substantial growth in sales underscores ITC’s ability to capture market opportunities and expand its revenue base.

Despite facing escalating expenses, with the TTM expenses reaching ₹43,825 crores, ITC has managed to maintain a healthy operating profit. The operating profit margin (OPM) has remained strong, hovering around 38% in the TTM period. This signifies the company’s efficiency in managing costs relative to its revenue, ensuring a robust operational performance.

Other income, which includes non-operating revenue sources, has shown a positive trend, growing from ₹2,080 crores in March 2019 to ₹2,665 crores in the TTM ending March 2023. This diversification of income streams contributes to the overall financial health of the company.

ITC’s consistent investment in its business is reflected in its interest and depreciation figures. Despite fluctuations, the company has been able to manage its interest payments and depreciation, indicating prudent financial management.

The profit before tax (PBT) has witnessed steady growth, reaching ₹27,273 crores in the TTM, showcasing ITC’s ability to generate substantial earnings. The tax efficiency has been maintained at 25%, ensuring effective tax planning.

The net profit, a key indicator of the company’s bottom-line performance, has grown from ₹12,836 crores in March 2019 to ₹20,477 crores in the TTM. This consistent increase underscores ITC’s financial strength and profitability.

Earnings per share (EPS) have shown an upward trajectory, increasing from ₹10.27 in March 2019 to ₹16.22 in the TTM. This growth in EPS indicates an enhancement in shareholder value and confidence.

The dividend payout percentage has been consistently high, reaching 100% in the TTM. While a high dividend payout reflects the company’s commitment to rewarding shareholders, it is essential to evaluate whether this trend is sustainable in the long run.

In conclusion, ITC’s financial analysis over the last five years portrays a company that has effectively navigated challenges, capitalized on opportunities, and sustained a trajectory of growth. The positive trends in sales, profitability, and shareholder returns highlight ITC’s resilience and strategic financial management.

FAQS

What is ITC’s primary business focus?

ITC is primarily focused on five business segments: FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business.

When was ITC established?

ITC was established in 1910.

Which is the dominant segment for ITC’s revenue?

The FMCG Cigarettes segment is the largest contributor to ITC’s revenue.

What is the geographical distribution of ITC’s revenue?

For the financial year 2022, India accounted for 78% of ITC’s revenue, while the rest came from exports.

What is ITC’s current market capitalization?

ITC’s market capitalization is ₹5,80,553 Crores.

How has ITC’s stock price performed recently?

As of January 18, 2024, the closing stock price of ITC was ₹466, with a high/low range of ₹500/₹329.

What is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of ITC’s stock?

ITC’s stock has a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.8.

What is the Book Value of ITC?

ITC’s Book Value is ₹55.4.

What is the Dividend Yield of ITC?

ITC offers a Dividend Yield of 2.74%.

How efficient is ITC in utilizing capital?

ITC demonstrates robust financial efficiency with a Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) of 39.0% and a Return on Equity (ROE) of 29.1%.

Should one invest in ITC ?

ITC Limited, established in 1910, holds a significant presence in the Indian market as the largest cigarette manufacturer. The company operates across five diverse business segments, including FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business. As of January 18, 2024, the stock closed at ₹466 on the NSE, with a market capitalization of ₹5,80,553 Crores.

Examining ITC’s financial health, the company displays a commendable balance sheet. With a return on equity (ROE) of 29.1% and return on capital employed (ROCE) at an impressive 39.0%, ITC showcases efficient capital utilization. Additionally, the company is nearly debt-free, contributing to its financial robustness.

The stock presents several positive aspects for potential investors. ITC has a strong track record of maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 98.0%, indicating consistent returns for shareholders. Moreover, the company has efficiently managed its working capital, reducing the requirement from 29.1 days to 20.1 days, enhancing its financial agility.

However, there are certain considerations for investors. The stock is trading at 8.40 times its book value, suggesting a relatively high valuation. Over the past five years, ITC has reported a sales growth of 10.3%, which is considered modest.

Comparing ITC with peers in the tobacco products sector, the company stands out with a robust market capitalization and healthy financial ratios. Its strong presence is evident in its geographical distribution, with India accounting for 78% of revenue in FY22.

In conclusion, ITC offers a mix of strengths and considerations for investors. The company’s consistent dividend payouts, efficient working capital management, and strong market position are appealing. However, investors should carefully evaluate the stock’s valuation and growth trajectory, considering the relatively moderate sales growth in recent years.

Sakshi Chaudhary

Filed Under: Price Target

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